Value Networks

 and the true nature of collaboration


   

Chapter 5: Advanced Analytics

Predictive Analytics for Work at Risk

 

 

Predictive Analytics for Work at Risk


Hidden network patterns help predict workflow at risk 
and improve performance.
Hidden value network patterns can be used to predict when processes or workflows are at risk. This is an advanced usage of Value Network Analysis (VNA) but it can be supported with applications. Implementing this approach is particularly effective in areas such as customer support where workflow systems track cases or work packages. VNA provides new metrics and pattern recognition techniques that can measure variances of time to identify exceptions and provide early warning to pending shifts in the work.
An example perspective of customer experience
Value Network Analysis was used to visualize the customer experience when submitting a trouble ticket in a global customer support organization in the technology field.  One of the results was to show how the case was passed along within the support organization until it was resolved.

 

A flat file extract from a sample case in the customer support system was used to generate the data for the VNA. The diagram below shows the progression of each change of status of the trouble ticket. A “status” was used to define the nodes, so a status of “review” correlates to a “reviewer” role. A “change” is represented by the link signifying a “hand off” to another status. This resulted in a role-based network view of the work process.

 

The accumulating status changes become more complex in each box, showing the progression of the network pattern over the 54-day life cycle of the case.

 

It is easy to see that a problem network pattern was developing with a long “kite tail” pattern visible by day 10, which is not a healthy collaboration pattern. This pattern continued to evolve into a pattern where two poorly connected groups were working on the same issue without resolution. Even when the alert system kicked in 22 days later at day 33 the problem continued. Without the capability to see this hidden network pattern, the problem persisted beyond day 10 - for another 44 days - until the final resolution at day 54. VNA visuals and analytics would have helped the group spot and fix the problem much earlier.


This diagram was developed for illustrative purposes by an analyst:

predictive analysis for workflow at risk support ticket escalation VNA
Each box in the diagram shows the progression of the network pattern 
as the status changes accumulated.

When customer support management saw this perspective of the customer experience, they admitted that it was a chilling experience to actually "see" how their support organization was behaving - and decided to evaluate a larger number of cases to explore whether this was typical. Fortunately this case was not typical, however what became clear during the investigation was that it was an excellent example for demonstrating the low level of knowledge sharing happening within the organization and the inefficiency of the relevant processes.

 

Results achieved:

 

The support group identified and validated network-centric combinations of KPIs relevant to monitoring and predicting the customer support experience. They identified the combination of KPIs, patterns, and thresholds best suited for both understanding why cases failed to meet SLAs and predicting which specific cases would fail to meet their SLA in the future. These new indicators in combination with the VNA visualizations could predict problematic cases up to 90% earlier than the existing escalation system.

 

They also defined a process for quickly extracting, analyzing, and visualizing data from the workflow system. A spreadsheet-type report was designed that would automatically highlight cases predicted to fail the SLA, to prioritize these, and to suggest escalation approaches for avoiding the failure.

Another example - monitoring collaboration patterns

This example is from customer support at a different company.

 

Building full capability for predictive analytics would require automating and integrating value network indicators with the existing escalation process to continuously improve monitoring, governance, and optimization of the workflow.

 

The two images below illustrate how working with network patterns can improve performance.

 

The images (which are typically animated) are provided by ValueNetworks.com which provides application support for visualizing and analyzing value networks. The example uses historical data from a case that went bad. The views demonstrate that if the company had been monitoring value network patterns they would have been alerted to a potential escalation much earlier in the case. The company would have been able to identify issues in the collaboration pattern between employees involved in the case.
role-based value network map life cycle support ticket
An example of the life cycle of a single customer support ticket. This role-based value network view shows only the tangible transactions of formal case status changes.
participant-based value network map life cycle support ticket
This is the same support ticket life cycle. This participant-based value network 
view shows the intangible interactions between individual 
employees - a collaboration pattern.